Health Forecasting at UCLA

 

Health Forecasting is housed at the Center for Health Advancement at the UCLA Fielding School of Public Health.

Our mission is to provide sound, credible forecasts to support policy decisions that improve population health and reduce health disparities, by using the best available research evidence and microsimulation analysis - read the infosheet

 

 Center for health advancement

 

 

supplying evidence-based information to improve collective health and reduce,disparities.

Center for Health Advancement Projects:


Health Forecasting News

May 2017

New Community Health Forecast Reports

Los Angeles County Department

of Public Health Service Planning Areas (SPAs) 1-8

While county numbers are important measures, they open mask health disparities that exist in certains areas of the county. The LA County Department of Public Health use SPAs to develop and provide geographically tailored services. Hospitals and community groups in a SPA can use forecasts to demonstrate need for funding or conduct in-depth analysis of changes in health status. 

 

 

April 2017

New Community Health Forecast Report

California Community Foundation (CCF)

Are you a community program in South Los Angeles or a CCF grantee? Use the forecasts to strengthen your proposal or progress report with data. Based on CCF zip codes, we created customized health forecasts for the following areas:    

 

 

February 2017

Community Health Snapshots

Forecast Focus year 2040: How will chronic conditions shift?

The one page series of Community Health Snapshots summarize full-length health forecast reports. These visual communication tools highlight problematic trends and opportunities to improve health. The Snapshots are reader friendly and can be easily printed and distributed to busy elected officials, community groups, and anyone who would like a synoposis of future preventable chronic conditions. Compare and contrast health disparities among different communities, cities, and County of Los Angeles.

View Community Health Snapshots

January 2017

New 'Aging Population Report'

The 'Be Well' Program for Seniors

The national award winning 'Be Well' Program is a senior fitness and nutrition education program that started in the City of Inglewood, California. Program participants have improved physical health and mental health outcomes. We forecasted chronic conditions and population growth for seniors age 65 and older in their service area and uncovered some startling results.  

View the Report

January 2017

New 'Aging Population Report'

California Community Foundation-Centinela Valley

As baby-boomers age, the retiree population will grow significantly and health care needs will change. How will the health status of an aging population shift in the next twenty years?

View the Report

January 2017

New report

California Community Foundation-Centinela Valley

California Community Foundation works to strengthen Los Angeles communities through many activities, including health improvement. The report covers the Centinela Valley, a portion of South Los Angeles. 

View the Report

November 2016

Workshop 11/09

'Decision-Support Tools & Opportunities to Improve Childhood Health and Education Outcomes While Reducing Crime'

This workshop, supported by California Community Foundation, will compare juvenile justice and obesity prevention interventions on outcomes such as, high school graduation, crime, obesity, substance abuse and diabetes.

View the Presentation Slides

November 2016

Workshop 11/01

'Taking Action Using Data-Drive Health Planning Tools'

The workshop, supported by California Community Foundationwill show participants how-to use forecasts to strength grantwriting and demonstrate need for a program or policy. A California Community Foundation grantee will talk about how they've used health forecasts to address opportunities and challenges. 

View the Presentation Slides

June 2016

New report

Cities of Bellflower and Paramount

Health Forecasts provide city planning departments, councilmembers, and local community groups the opportunity to foresee the future health status of their cities. The forecasts help city staff to anticipate health and population trends in order to plan effective resource allocation.

Health Forecast for Cities of Bellflower and Paramount

May 2016

New report                                              

Los Angeles County Baseline Health Forecast

Read the latest report examining the future health status of Los Angeles County through the year 2040. The report includes preventable chronic conditions, such as heart disease, diabetes, and high blood pressure as well as health behaviors, such as smoking, physical activity, and weight status. Reports are stratified by race/ethnicity and education. Read the report by clicking here: 

Los Angeles County Baseline Health Forecast

April 2016

Workshop:

'Forecasting the Impact of Evidence-based Interventions for Community Benefit Planning'

Researchers presented the results of the Health Forecasting model's effect on diabetes, smoking, and asthma following implementation of evidence based program for Los Angeles County. Access slides here.

 

 

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The Health Forecasting Tool:

        An Evidence-Based Decision Support Tool

Model Reports ProjHistory Applications

   
 


  Evidence-based model to support advocacy of public health, research, and programs